$ASML: A monopoly that just confirmed its throne
There are companies that are good, companies that are great. And then there’s ASML — a company without which modern civilization literally cannot manufacture chips. No other company in the world can do what they do. And the results for 2025 only confirmed that.
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ASML has a great position, sure, but semiconductors are an extremely cyclical business influenced by a lot of external factors — geopolitics, various export bans, and whether customers like TSMC or Samsung are willing to pour billions into new fabs. And one more thing occurs to me: if chip performance started being pushed more by packaging, chiplets, and smarter architecture instead of ever-smaller transistors, ASML might not be as indispensable as it seems today.