The British-American cruise company has released its second quarter results.
Carnival Corp (CCL) 2Q 2023 results
2Q 2023
Consensus 2Q 2023
2Q 2022
Revenue (USD billion)
4,91
4,77
2,40
Net profit (USD million)
-395
-436,4
-1867
Adjusted earnings per share (EPS, USD/share)
-0,31
-0,34
-1,64
Results
The company introduced a new change program, which it has named the SEA program (Sustainabilty, EBITDA and Adjusted ROIC). It intends to implement the plan within 3 years. The plan includes a reduction of more than 20% in its carbon footprint, a 50% increase in EBITDA/total passenger capacity to its highest level in two decades and a 12% return on invested capital.
Outlook
The Company has revised its full year and third quarter guidance.
3Q
In the third quarter, the company forecasts to realize adjusted EBITDA in the range of $2.05 billion to $2.15 billion; analysts were expecting $2.09 billion.
The company expects to have a total Available Lower Berth Day (ALBD) capacity of between 23.8 million and 23.7 million passengers.
2023
In its full-year 2023 outlook, Carnival Corp raised its expectations for adjusted EBITDA from the original range of USD3.9bn to USD4.1bn to a range of USD4.1bn to USD4.25bn. Analysts had expected USD4.07 billion.
The company expects to make capital expenditures of USD 3.3 billion, originally forecast with capital expenditures of USD 3.2 billion. Analysts were expecting USD 3.26 billion.
The outlook for total passenger capacity remains unchanged at 91.3 million passengers. Analysts had expected 91.3 million passengers.
Word from the CEO
CEO Josh Weinstein said, "We have reached a significant inflection point in terms of revenue, with net revenue surpassing 2019 levels and achieving positive operating profit and adjusted free cash flow. [...] With orders and customer deposits at their highest levels, we have clearly gained inertia and a growth trajectory. Our focus is on sustainable revenue growth and margin improvement."
Analyst Statement
Analyst Adam Crisafulli of Vital Knowledge said, "The numbers the company gave us in the second quarter were solid. The outlook is still up (however at a moderate pace) and qualitatively we can talk about a bullish title. But the problem for the stock is that a lot of the optimism is already priced into the price."
In the context of the competition
There are multiple companies on the stock market that provide cruises. Notable titles include Norwegian Cruise Line and Royal Caribbean Cruise. After the market opened, they are down 4.46% and 0.83% respectively. In terms of market share, according to the source cruisemarketwatch.com, Carnival has a 42% market share, Royal Caribbean Cruise has a 23.6% share and Norwegian Cruise Line has a 9.5% share. All other companies combined have a 24.9% share.