S&P 500 ^GSPC
5,087.03
+2.11%
Nvidia NVDA
$785.38
+16.40%
Meta META
$486.13
+3.87%
Amazon AMZN
$174.58
+3.55%
Microsoft MSFT
$411.65
+2.35%
Tesla TSLA
$197.41
+1.36%
Apple AAPL
$184.37
+1.12%
Alphabet GOOG
$145.32
+1.03%

Interesting perspective on the current situation!🤯

Have a nice Friday night! 📈💼

I read an interesting report regarding the developments in the stock market.🌐💹

While we are witnessing a remarkable rally in the tech sector, it is important to note that the momentum may soon change. Expert Gregory Branche points to a possible turnaround in policy of the Federal Reserve. 💡🏦

We're all still holding on to the idea that the Fed will start cutting interest rates, but let's not forget that a hot labor market may influence theFed' s decision , which could raise interest rateswhich would give us all pause. 📉💰

Greg Branche warns that the factors driving the rally may start to fade, and we need to be cautious. 🚨📉

Although the Wall Street is enjoying economic strength and growth GDP, signals from the labor market and inflation suggest that the situation may not be as rosy as it seems. 📊

Branch points out that despite the reduction in inflation, not all problems are solved. Particularly interesting is his take on the recent increase in of the core consumer price index. 🧐

What is your view on the current market situation? Do you think an interest rate hike is in play or will we see the promised cut? 💬🤝


There was a bit of a heated debate about probability and I guess I threw in the towel, saying that I personally don't follow these probabilities and I just wait for some data and don't try to predict. Anything like that is just gembl and I can go to the casino and play roulette there for example. Although there will be those who will say that there are systems to play it and count it and so on, even with other games for example, the various probabilities that can be expressed mathematically always end up being that you can never say for sure what's going to happen. What "suit, card, ball ..." or the speech of the person who will influence those markets a lot. 😊

That's why I personally dare not say I'm enjoying the growth of technology right now where I'm invested. At the same time, in a prolonged state of high private interest rates that are negatively impacting other sectors, like Reit, I am taking advantage to buy. Rather, I am trying to look, learning to read individual companies to see which is strong and can withstand this kind of period, and which will be brought to its knees. 😊

Otherwise, I think there will be a reduction this year, I think the election will play a bit of a role in that, of course as it happens everywhere, candidates will take advantage of people's trust, promise them better times, and so on... but once elected it will be different again. What I'm also rather curious about is where will the US debt go again? ...🤔😊

Hozen🤷‍♂️😊

Nothing wrong with that though, I wouldn't see it as a loss for any of you debaters. 😁 It's just that differences of opinion are also sometimes necessary to open your eyes to possible reflection. 😊

5 to 5.25 will be the rate in May "probably" why? The answer is here https://www.metaculus.com/questions/19859/us-federal-funds-rate/

5 to 5.25 will be the rate in May "probably" why? The answer is here https://www.metaculus.com/questions/19859/us-federal-funds-rate/

5 to 5.25 will be the rate in May "probably" why? The answer is here https://www.metaculus.com/questions/19859/us-federal-funds-rate/