Kroger: Defensive leader with growth potential
Kroger $KR one of the largest retail chains in the US, is becoming an attractive option for defensive investors thanks to its stable business model and earnings growth. Despite higher EBITDA volatility (32%), it provides predictable earnings through sales of food and drug products - a sector that is less sensitive to economic cycles.
A defensive sector with earnings growth:
Expected earnings per share growth:
- +5% in 2025
- +8% in 2026
Strong presence in the food and pharmaceuticals segment - demand is stable even during economic downturns
Reason for significance: Food retail is recession-proof because people buy basic goods regardless of economic conditions.
Stocks outperform the market:
+19% over the past six months
+11% year-to-date
Outperformed the S&P 500 Index
Reason for significance: rising stock price signals investor confidence in the long-term stability of $KR.
Strong analyst support
More than half of analysts (13 of 25) recommend a "buy" or "strong buy"
Goldman Sachs expects continued revenue and earnings growth
Reason for significance: when big analysts support a stock, it often means lower risk and a higher probability of solid earnings.
Investment view: Kroger as a stable growth stock:
A resilient retail business - food and drug sales are stable even in a crisis
Profitability growth - expectations of +5% (2025) and +8% (2026)
Support from analysts and above average market performance
$KR offers a combination of stability, growth and defensiveness, making it an attractive option for investors seeking stable returns in an uncertain market environment.
Value stocks are rising nicely right now. I don't have $KR in my portfolio, but otherwise the value and dividend stocks in my portfolio are performing solidly right now.
The outlook for this year looks quite positive and the company is likely to do well. But I have other defensive stocks in my portfolio already, so I won't be buying.