Newmont in 2025 and gold investment
- Stock growth: +47% YTD (well above the growth of gold itself and GLD-type ETFs)
- Results:
- 1Q 2025 revenue: $5.01 billion (vs. expectations of $4.7 billion)
- Adjusted earnings per share (EPS): $1.25 (vs. expectations of $0.92)
- Free cash flow: record
- Return on equity:
- Share repurchase program of up to $3 billion (effective through October 2026)
- Already $754 million in repurchases in 2025. USD 7575 million (in the first 4 months)
- Dividend: Expected yield around 1%, which is exceptional for gold-related investments.
- Positive analyst comments:
- UBS: "Good start" to the year, valuation of quick cash returns.
- BMO Capital Markets: Slight drop in free cash flow in 2Q possible due to investments and taxes, but long-term outlook remains positive.
For investors, this means:
- Newmont $NEM is not just a "gold bet" but also benefits from efficient asset management, aggressive share buybacks and dividend payments.
- Shares of $NEM may be a more attractive option than physical gold or gold ETFs alone, especially for those seeking a combination of growth and yield.
- The year 2025 has a chance to be the best year in 10 yearsfor $NEMstock if gold prices remain high and the company maintains its pace of capital management.
Definitely an interesting sector and I would love to be invested in gold in some way. Earlier someone here mentioned $KGC stock and that seems the best so far.
But that gold must not fall. If gold were to fall now after the rise, that could be a problem.