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The Fed leadership presents its view of the economy.

Jerome Powell presented his view of the economy and the potential for interest rate cuts during a politically tumultuous election year yesterday and today. The chairman will begin a two-day series of hearings before the House Financial Services Committee, where he will present his view of economic developments and refine the direction of monetary policy.

"It's like dancing the balance on thin ice," Powell told reporters as he prepared to speak. "We have to be careful to maintain stability while responding to economic challenges."

The plan Powell will present will be full of contrasts. On the one hand, we have a low unemployment rate and inflation that is near the Federal Reserve's 2% target. This suggests that the economy is still growing, although there are some concerns about the pace being too fast.

"It's like a roller coaster ride," Powell explained to the congressmen in attendance. "We see that the economy is growing, but there are also signs that we could slow down to avoid overheating."

However, recent data has shown that the situation is not as simple as it might seem. Inflation has turned out to be firmer than expected, which has some Fed members worried.

"We have to be cautious," Powell warned. "We can't act too quickly and risk the economy overheating."

Powell's words echo concerns expressed recently by some Federal Reserve members. While the labor market appears strong and inflation is relatively under control, some have warned of possible price pressures that could emerge in the future.

"We need to be aware of the risks," Powell stressed. "We can't act rashly and risk causing problems."

However, hearing Powell's uncertain view of the future proved important for markets and investors looking for clues about the direction of monetary policy. Given the political uncertainty and growing economic challenges, his comments will be closely watched.

"It's like reading tea leaves," Powell noted. "We have to be vigilant and take in the signals the economy is sending us."

Powell's hearing will also offer an opportunity for politicians on both sides of the political spectrum to ask for his views and voice their concerns. As the election approaches, not only will economic factors influence policy decisions, but also the Fed's decisions. Although the Fed tries to keep its distance from political influences, the presidential election presents specific challenges. Donald Trump, during his time in office, has often criticized Powell and his colleagues. Further, on the Democratic side, including Senator Elizabeth Warren of Massachusetts, there have been calls for the Fed to respond to the growing financial pressures on lower-income families by cutting rates. Ayanna Pressley, a Democratic representative from Ohio, also supported a rate cut. Democrats during Trump's presidency have criticized his attempts to influence the Fed's rate decisions.

"It's like dancing on a knife edge," Powell concluded. "We have to be aware of the risks, but we also have to act with prudence and caution."

Bottom line for now, there's always something going on in the US and more to come. Again, in my opinion, not much more could be expected from this speech and we won't know when they will cut rates. What is certain is that it won't be now and I don't think it will be until the second half of the year at the earliest. 😊 What about you, my friends, how do you see it? ...😃


Great article! Thank you