Willard Spencer

US stocks: will the year-end rally come? This argument weighs trillions of dollars

Something quite logical went hand in hand with the rise in rates and bond yields, and the inversion of the yield curve in the US, namely the sharp rise in the amount of money in US money market funds. There is well over USD 5 trillion in them, and this at an appreciation rate of over 5%. But at…

US stocks weaken sharply on Tuesday as investors fear higher interest rates

US stocks fell sharply. Concerns persist in the market about the negative impact of high interest rates.

The Dow index, which includes shares of thirty leading US companies, lost 1.14% to end trading at 33,618.88 points. The broader S&P 500 index fell 1.47% to 4 273.53 points and the Nasdaq Composite…

Maybe not, but what if: In the event of a recession, a tens of percent gap opens up for US stocks

Is the US heading into a recession? Economists disagree, of course, but in recent weeks they have tended to look for a smooth economic landing. But the dynamics of some economic indicators and the long-term and pronounced inversion of the US government bond yield curve warn against…

Do you have one of your "sugar stocks" that you are patiently waiting for?

For me it's $BNGO:)

Fidelity: The rally in energy stocks is not over, the sector is at the beginning of a new cycle

Last year, energy stocks benefited from rising oil and gas prices and a number of geopolitical risks, with the energy sector adding over 40% to the US S&P 500 stock index. This year, since the beginning of January, the energy sector has added just under 5%, but there is no reason to…

US stock indices fell slightly on Tuesday, the dollar did not do well either.

Stocks in the United States weakened. Investors steered away from riskier investments ahead of the U.S. central bank's monetary policy decision. Large technology companies sensitive to interest rates, such as Amazon and NVIDIA, lost significantly.

The Dow fell 0.31% to 34 517.73 points, the broader S&P…

U.S. stocks fell sharply on Friday, with major indices disagreeing on weekly direction

US stocks weakened significantly on Friday, with chipmakers and large technology companies behind their decline.

The Dow index lost 0.83% to end trading at 34,618.24 points, the broader S&P 500 fell 1.22% to 4,450.32 points and the Nasdaq Composite technology market index slumped 1.56% to…

Where $AAPL, there goes the whole market or a warning to stock bulls.

Shares of Apple lost 1.71% on Tuesday, the day it unveiled new devices led by the iPhone 15. They are still writing off over 10% from their all-time high on August 1, and are thus in a correction. Investors who put money across the board in the S&P 500 would certainly like to see better stock market…

Commentary: the Biden (in)economy

As the US presidential election approaches next year, the economic rhetoric of both major political parties is also hardening. The Democrats argue that so-called "Bidenomics " is the most successful medicine for the problems of the US economy in US history. The Republicans, on the other hand, have harshly criticised Biden's economic record. Not…

Czechs and investments: what motivates us and whose advice do we take when appreciating our assets?

People believe that investing is not easy, admit that they do not understand it very well, and agree that investments are often offered by untrustworthy companies. So they take advice on investing, but disagree on the best source of information. When it comes to investing in…

US bonds can rewrite history. This has not happened in the market in 250 years

Ten-year US government bonds may see their third consecutive annual price decline this year. As strategists at Bank of America point out, this is something that has never happened in the roughly 250-year history of the United States. Bunds fell 3.9% in 2021, are down roughly 17% in 2022, and have…

What you need to know in the morning (September 8)

1. U.S. stocks closed mixed on Thursday, with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite weakening on Apple

Stocks in the United States closed mixed on Thursday. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite indexes fell due to a drop in Apple shares. A drop in new jobless claims in the US added to concerns about interest rates and persistently high…

Real estate funds in 2023: Time to rest after last year's records

The average net return of real estate funds in the first half of the year reached 2.5%. None of the 33 real estate funds in the Czech Republic outperformed the inflation rate in the first half of this year, while three real estate funds posted losses.

The first half of this year was below average for real estate…

Bank of America: Hedge funds are bracing for worse times and are overconfident in these 20 stocks (part 2).

Continued from yesterday's status:
11. Lamb Weston

Sector: essential consumer goods and services…

Bank of America: Hedge funds are bracing for worse times and have above-average confidence in these 20 stocks (Part 1)

Although the data from the U.S. economy is fairly solid, hedge funds are not really overly optimistic. Defensive positions outweigh cyclical ones in the portfolios of funds that can bet on both LONG and SHORT. Which stocks do hedge managers trust the most in…

The economy is slowing and inflation will not return to central bank targets immediately. That's why we prefer value stocks, emerging markets and commodity producers

The fundamental cause of the still significantly elevated inflation is the unprecedented monetary and fiscal stimulus of the pandemic economy (2020-2021) from a global perspective. Their effects are still being…

A week in the markets according to stock charts: US stocks recoup some of August's losses, S&P 500 index adds nearly a percent.

The streak of red weekly candles was broken, the S&P 500 index rose 0.82% for the week.

S&P 500

The S&P 500 index started the past week on an optimistic streak, which collapsed on Thursday when the index wrote off well over a percent. Thus, the green…

Bob Doll (Crossmark GI): I continue to see a recession in the US, the stock market may write off over 10%.
Bob Doll is Chief Investment Officer at Crossmark Global Investments and former Head of US Equity Strategies at BlackRock. Despite the resilience of the US economy so far this year, he warns of a recession and a drop in the S&P 500 stock index into the 3,800 to 4,200 point…

Why not try to time the market? The answer can be found in this chart.

Once people get a feel for the stock market, they immediately think about how to increase their (potential) profits. Often, they go into market timing. But this can cost them dearly.

The following chart shows what a portfolio consisting of a ten thousand dollar investment in the S&P 500 index at the end of…

Is there any point in dealing with share valuation?

US stocks are expensive, investors have been hearing for years from all sides. Yet a major correction is not coming. Have standard valuation indicators stopped working?

The Shiller cyclically adjusted P/E ratio (CAPE) for the US S&P 500 has averaged 17.4 over the period since 1871. It is hard to doubt the relevance of this…